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Sixty Five Million Wireless Users Accessing the Web by
2004
In the year 2000 approximately 9 million people in the U.S. will
use wireless Internet services.
By 2004 that number could reach 65 million, most via cell phones
and pagers. This forecast assumes that by 2002 nearly all cell phones
shipped will function with wireless application protocol (WAP) or
a more advanced protocol like Bluetooth. The forecast further assumes
consumers will use wireless services when they become available and
mobile workers will be attracted to wireless access for its practical
benefits.
Many of the first wireless applications will be e-commerce related.
Good examples of what cell phone vendors hope will appeal to consumers
include travel services such as booking airline and hotel reservations,
purchasing books, and trading stocks. Mobile workers will use wireless
access for reading e-mail and messages, calendaring, and keeping in
touch with the home office and clients.
Browsing the web and reading e-mail on a cell phone's small screen
will be challenging as will be WAP's relatively slow speed. Over the
next year the wireless application protocol will likely evolve into
one with higher speed and greater versitiilty, e.g., Bluetooth
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